HTA 109-101 BES, December 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat BES 109-101, but BES's shots were worth 93.8 points to HTA's 92.5.

HTA 109-101 BES, December 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA617965.530/3627.010992.5
BES778773.914/2720.010193.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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