No. BES beat BAH 89-82, but BAH's shots were worth 88.9 points to BES's 71.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BES | 51 | 65 | 47.0 | 24/33 | 24.4 | 89 | 71.4 |
| BAH | 62 | 59 | 66.9 | 23/29 | 22.0 | 82 | 88.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.