CAN 82-71 BUD, December 11, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CAN beat BUD 82-71, but BUD's shots were worth 79.2 points to CAN's 68.5.

CAN 82-71 BUD, December 11, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CAN	57	73	59.8	9/11	8.7	82	68.5
BUD	61	56	61.9	15/23	17.3	71	79.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.