No. PAR beat RED 85-82, but RED's shots were worth 93.4 points to PAR's 85.1.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | 65 | 73 | 71.7 | 12/18 | 13.4 | 85 | 85.1 |
| RED | 64 | 62 | 72.8 | 20/27 | 20.6 | 82 | 93.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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