HTA 90-81 VIR, October 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat VIR 90-81, but VIR's shots were worth 99.1 points to HTA's 97.0.

HTA 90-81 VIR, October 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA717380.417/2116.69097.0
VIR705976.222/3022.98199.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.