VIR 86-78 BAS, October 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VIR beat BAS 86-78, but BAS's shots were worth 91.5 points to VIR's 82.5.

VIR 86-78 BAS, October 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR596660.820/2821.78682.5
BAS706071.518/2620.07891.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.