No. BES beat MUN 95-87, but MUN's shots were worth 94.0 points to BES's 87.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BES | 64 | 82 | 75.4 | 13/15 | 12.0 | 95 | 87.4 |
| MUN | 57 | 58 | 67.0 | 29/34 | 26.9 | 87 | 94.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.