No. BAR beat IST 89-82, but IST's shots were worth 84.6 points to BAR's 75.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAR | 64 | 78 | 64.8 | 11/14 | 11.0 | 89 | 75.8 |
| IST | 61 | 60 | 64.6 | 22/25 | 20.1 | 82 | 84.6 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.