BAR 81-88 ZAL, October 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat BAR 88-81, and ZAL's shots were worth 80.2 points to BAR's 74.8.

BAR 81-88 ZAL, October 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR657466.47/118.48174.8
ZAL587163.817/2116.48880.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.