BAS 84-92 BES, October 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BES beat BAS 92-84, but BAS's shots were worth 87.8 points to BES's 79.3.

BAS 84-92 BES, October 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS575154.833/4233.08487.8
BES647766.015/1713.39279.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.