ULK 76-66 DUB, October 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULK beat DUB 76-66, and ULK's shots were worth 85.7 points to DUB's 77.3.

ULK 76-66 DUB, October 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULK	62	62	69.6	14/21	16.1	76	85.7
DUB	54	48	58.9	18/23	18.3	66	77.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.