No. BAS beat MIL 86-76, but MIL's shots were worth 81.2 points to BAS's 71.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAS | 59 | 75 | 62.5 | 11/11 | 8.9 | 86 | 71.4 |
| MIL | 65 | 57 | 63.7 | 19/22 | 17.5 | 76 | 81.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.