BES 82-95 BAR, October 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat BES 95-82, but BES's shots were worth 91.4 points to BAR's 85.5.

BES 82-95 BAR, October 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BES	76	66	76.5	16/19	14.9	82	91.4
BAR	61	73	64.1	22/27	21.3	95	85.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.