PRS 82-78 ZAL, October 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PRS beat ZAL 82-78, but ZAL's shots were worth 90.5 points to PRS's 82.0.

PRS 82-78 ZAL, October 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PRS	69	68	68.3	14/18	13.8	82	82.0
ZAL	65	57	69.1	21/28	21.4	78	90.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.