No. PAR beat MCO 78-76, but MCO's shots were worth 88.2 points to PAR's 85.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | 64 | 65 | 72.7 | 13/16 | 12.6 | 78 | 85.4 |
| MCO | 56 | 51 | 63.2 | 25/31 | 25.0 | 76 | 88.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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