PAM 89-76 MAD, November 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAM beat MAD 89-76, but MAD's shots were worth 109.4 points to PAM's 103.3.

PAM 89-76 MAD, November 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAM697687.713/2115.689103.3
MAD654781.729/3427.776109.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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