MCO 84-89 ZAL, October 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ZAL beat MCO 89-84, but MCO's shots were worth 79.4 points to ZAL's 75.1.

MCO 84-89 ZAL, October 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MCO687569.89/129.78479.4
ZAL667862.811/1612.38975.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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