DUB 97-109 HTA, November 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat DUB 109-97, but DUB's shots were worth 100.1 points to HTA's 97.9.

DUB 97-109 HTA, November 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DUB616568.832/4031.497100.1
HTA698977.020/2620.910997.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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