OLY 62-58 HTA, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat HTA 62-58, and OLY's shots were worth 77.6 points to HTA's 74.4.

OLY 62-58 HTA, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OLY645369.49/108.26277.6
HTA605167.27/97.25874.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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