MAD 84-58 ULK, October 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat ULK 84-58, but ULK's shots were worth 76.9 points to MAD's 72.5.

MAD 84-58 ULK, October 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MAD596958.815/1713.68472.5
ULK694866.710/1310.25876.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.