TEL 92-99 RED, October 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat TEL 99-92, but TEL's shots were worth 101.0 points to RED's 99.4.

TEL 92-99 RED, October 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TEL716671.526/3729.592101.0
RED737473.425/3526.09999.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.