MIL 86-77 PRS, October 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat PRS 86-77, and MIL's shots were worth 101.2 points to PRS's 97.8.

MIL 86-77 PRS, October 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL676482.722/2318.586101.2
PRS736283.715/1814.17797.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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