VIR 74-68 MAD, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. VIR beat MAD 74-68, and VIR's shots were worth 81.8 points to MAD's 79.2.

VIR 74-68 MAD, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR576268.312/1713.57481.8
MAD666170.87/118.46879.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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