HTA 97-84 PAR, October 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat PAR 97-84, but PAR's shots were worth 85.6 points to HTA's 82.1.

HTA 97-84 PAR, October 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA608266.315/2015.89782.1
PAR677274.312/1511.38485.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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