ZAL 86-65 VIR, October 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat VIR 86-65, and ZAL's shots were worth 91.0 points to VIR's 79.5.

ZAL 86-65 VIR, October 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ZAL607074.516/2116.58691.0
VIR545164.214/1915.36579.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.