No. BAR beat MIL 74-72, but MIL's shots were worth 68.1 points to BAR's 63.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAR | 58 | 66 | 55.9 | 8/10 | 7.8 | 74 | 63.6 |
| MIL | 65 | 67 | 64.1 | 5/5 | 4.0 | 72 | 68.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.