RED 79-65 ASV, October 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat ASV 79-65, but ASV's shots were worth 73.3 points to RED's 72.8.

RED 79-65 ASV, October 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	60	66	59.3	13/18	13.5	79	72.8
ASV	58	53	61.4	12/16	12.0	65	73.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.