PAN 87-79 MUN, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat MUN 87-79, but MUN's shots were worth 87.7 points to PAN's 81.9.

PAN 87-79 MUN, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAN606763.720/2318.28781.9
MUN656472.515/2115.37987.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.