IST 69-79 ULK, October 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat IST 79-69, but IST's shots were worth 78.7 points to ULK's 77.5.

IST 69-79 ULK, October 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST545761.612/2217.16978.7
ULK556663.113/1814.47977.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.