HTA 85-77 MCO, October 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat MCO 85-77, but MCO's shots were worth 88.6 points to HTA's 78.4.

HTA 85-77 MCO, October 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA627467.811/1310.68578.4
MCO686171.916/2116.77788.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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