BAR 73-88 ZAL, October 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ZAL beat BAR 88-73, but BAR's shots were worth 75.0 points to ZAL's 73.1.

BAR 73-88 ZAL, October 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR635759.216/2015.87375.0
ZAL637762.111/1411.08873.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.