No. HTA beat PRS 89-88, but PRS's shots were worth 98.6 points to HTA's 85.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRS | 77 | 64 | 77.0 | 24/27 | 21.6 | 88 | 98.6 |
| HTA | 64 | 64 | 62.8 | 25/29 | 22.5 | 89 | 85.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.