HTA 103-87 BAR, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HTA beat BAR 103-87, and HTA's shots were worth 89.2 points to BAR's 82.7.

HTA 103-87 BAR, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HTA	65	89	76.9	14/15	12.3	103	89.2
BAR	63	74	69.5	13/17	13.1	87	82.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.