RED 90-75 MAD, October 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat MAD 90-75, but MAD's shots were worth 90.3 points to RED's 80.8.

RED 90-75 MAD, October 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	64	76	65.5	14/20	15.3	90	80.8
MAD	69	61	72.0	14/23	18.3	75	90.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.