BAS 79-91 PAR, October 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAR beat BAS 91-79, and PAR's shots were worth 81.1 points to BAS's 71.8.

BAS 79-91 PAR, October 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS606761.712/1310.17971.8
PAR698271.49/129.79181.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.