TEL 94-95 OLY, October 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat TEL 95-94, but TEL's shots were worth 100.8 points to OLY's 90.8.

TEL 94-95 OLY, October 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TEL708085.814/1915.094100.8
OLY617976.216/1814.69590.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.