No. DUB beat PAR 89-76, but PAR's shots were worth 87.5 points to DUB's 80.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUB | 65 | 79 | 70.6 | 10/12 | 9.9 | 89 | 80.5 |
| PAR | 61 | 59 | 70.4 | 17/21 | 17.2 | 76 | 87.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.