PAM 93-100 HTA, October 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat PAM 100-93, but PAM's shots were worth 98.9 points to HTA's 97.5.

PAM 93-100 HTA, October 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAM728185.512/1813.49398.9
HTA678685.214/1512.310097.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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