PAR 91-79 BAS, April 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PAR beat BAS 91-79, but BAS's shots were worth 94.6 points to PAR's 92.5.

PAR 91-79 BAS, April 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR677374.518/2317.99192.5
BAS666279.417/1815.27994.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.