TEL 85-89 VIR, April 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VIR beat TEL 89-85, but TEL's shots were worth 83.4 points to VIR's 79.6.

TEL 85-89 VIR, April 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TEL616364.122/2519.28583.4
VIR597364.116/1915.48979.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.