No. ZAL beat ULK 92-82, but ULK's shots were worth 86.0 points to ZAL's 82.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULK | 62 | 67 | 70.6 | 15/19 | 15.3 | 82 | 86.0 |
| ZAL | 57 | 77 | 63.4 | 15/25 | 19.4 | 92 | 82.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.