BAS 118-109 HTA, March 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAS beat HTA 118-109, and BAS's shots were worth 91.7 points to HTA's 81.4.

BAS 118-109 HTA, March 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS679871.820/2419.911891.7
HTA589061.819/2519.610981.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.