No. BAR beat IST 78-71, but IST's shots were worth 75.3 points to BAR's 71.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAR | 51 | 58 | 53.1 | 20/24 | 18.4 | 78 | 71.5 |
| IST | 57 | 60 | 64.3 | 11/14 | 11.0 | 71 | 75.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.