ZAL 87-85 MAD, March 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ZAL beat MAD 87-85, but MAD's shots were worth 98.2 points to ZAL's 89.9.

ZAL 87-85 MAD, March 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ZAL	69	77	79.3	10/14	10.6	87	89.9
MAD	72	69	82.3	16/20	15.9	85	98.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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