MUN 64-53 MIL, October 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MUN beat MIL 64-53, and MUN's shots were worth 74.9 points to MIL's 69.6.

MUN 64-53 MIL, October 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MUN585061.014/1713.96474.9
MIL594158.312/1411.35369.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.