HTA 109-91 VIR, March 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat VIR 109-91, but VIR's shots were worth 99.2 points to HTA's 92.1.

HTA 109-91 VIR, March 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA639275.817/2116.310992.1
VIR666977.722/2621.59199.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.