VIR 82-88 PAR, March 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PAR beat VIR 88-82, but VIR's shots were worth 91.7 points to PAR's 84.2.

VIR 82-88 PAR, March 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR676071.622/2520.18291.7
PAR687669.412/1914.98884.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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