RED 82-92 MIL, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat RED 92-82, and MIL's shots were worth 78.3 points to RED's 75.3.

RED 82-92 MIL, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
RED657465.48/139.98275.3
MIL607963.913/1814.49278.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.