No. MIL beat BAR 87-84, but BAR's shots were worth 91.0 points to MIL's 80.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 52 | 67 | 59.2 | 20/26 | 21.2 | 87 | 80.4 |
| BAR | 73 | 78 | 85.8 | 6/7 | 5.2 | 84 | 91.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.