No. RED beat IST 91-81, but IST's shots were worth 85.9 points to RED's 84.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED | 65 | 78 | 67.5 | 13/23 | 17.4 | 91 | 84.9 |
| IST | 63 | 68 | 70.3 | 13/20 | 15.7 | 81 | 85.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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